Document Type

Article

Publication Date

Winter 2003

Publication Source

Journal of the Transportation Research Forum

Abstract

This paper shows that robustness analysis is a technique with a potential for aiding decision makers in choosing transportation investment projects. In this paper, it has been demonstrated that it can be successfully used in urban transportation planning in conjunction with urban travel demand software. The robustness analysis procedure emphasizes the need, under conditions of uncertainty, to make early decisions in a time-phased sequence, while preserving future options that currently seem attractive. The results of the robustness analysis from the case study used in this paper indicate that the method is simple to understand, easy to use, minimizes future surprises in terms of expected future events not happening, and provides the flexibility required in typical urban planning problems where decision making is needed to be taken under conditions of uncertainty. A general framework to be used in such cases is proposed.

Inclusive pages

107-121

ISBN/ISSN

1046-1469

Document Version

Published Version

Comments

The journal is now published by the Transportation Research Forum. Article is made available for download with permission. Permission documentation is on file.

Publisher

Eno Transportation Foundation

Place of Publication

Washington, DC

Volume

57

Peer Reviewed

yes

Issue

1

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