Title

The Safety Impact of Raising Speed Limit on Rural Freeways In Ohio

Date of Award

1-1-2020

Degree Name

M.S. in Civil Engineering

Department

Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering & Engineering Mechanics

Advisor/Chair

Advisor: Deogratias Eustace

Abstract

The impacts of raising speed limits on traffic safety is an area that has generated much research, although a strong consensus has not emerged on the relationship between speed and safety. Responding to the nationwide ongoing trend of raising speed limits, the Ohio legislature implemented the 70-mi/h speed limit on 570 miles of rural freeways in Ohio on July 1, 2013 and an additional 398 miles of rural freeways starting on September 29, 2013. The primary goal of the research detailed in this study was to investigate the safety impacts of this new speed limit using available crash, roadway, and traffic characteristics data. Statewide crash data from January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2015 were obtained from the Highway Safety Information System (HSIS). The study utilizes the Empirical Bayes (EB) before-after study in the evaluation of the safety effectiveness of the raised speed limit. The intent of the before-after study is to estimate the actual performance (in terms of crash frequency and severity levels) following the speed limit increase and what the safety performance would have been if the increase in speed limit had not been applied. Safety performance functions (SPFs) were developed for both the total crashes and the fatal and injury (FI) crashes combined using the negative binomial regression and the SPFs were used to predict the average crash frequency of each of the segments in the observed period.The EB analysis showed that total crashes went down by 24.6 percent and the injury and fatal crashes combined went down by 8.8 percent for the two years after the speed limit was changed. Therefore, caution should be taken in drawing conclusion from this study because the after period did not meet the minimum of three years recommended by the HSM since the data available for the after period were only for two years. It is recommended a further study be conducted after additional data for the after period will be available.

Keywords

Transportation, Transportation Planning, Civil Engineering, Speed Limit, Traffic Safety, Rural Freeways, Empirical Bayes, Negative Binomial, Safety Performance Function

Rights Statement

Copyright 2020, author

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