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Description

Many financial analysts prefer to normalize a firm's key drivers of growth i.e., revenues and earnings, in order to obtain a clearer picture of its financial prospects. In this study, we look at a sample of stocks from the Dow Jones Industrial Average to evaluate normalized price-earnings ratios. Using 5 and 10 year averages of earnings and current price i.e. P/NE, we compare the Normalized Price-Earnings Ratio to the firm's price-earnings ratio with current earnings. If P/NE is greater than P/CE, we would expect P/CE to trend upwards especially over short periods of time. If P/NE < P/CE, we would expect P/CE to trend downward. In both cases, we would expect the stock price to be the primary mover over short periods of time, i.e. 6-12 months. We test our hypothesis for the year 2012 based on 10 years of previous data.

Publication Date

4-17-2013

Project Designation

Independent Research

Primary Advisor

Robert D. Dean

Primary Advisor's Department

Davis Center for Portfolio Management

Keywords

Stander Symposium poster

Using Normalized P/E Ratios to Project Future Stock Price Movement

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