Statistical Estimation of Railroad Congestion Delay
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
5-2009
Publication Source
Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review
Abstract
This research identifies factors that are the major contributors to freight rail congestion using statistical analysis. Total train running time is predicted based on free running time predictors (horsepower per ton, track topography and slow orders) and congestion-related factors (meets, passes, overtakes, prior time periods’ train counts, total train hours, train spacing variability, and train departure headway). Primary congestion predictive factors (meets, passes, overtakes) are consistently found to have the largest effect on congestion delay. The predictive equations are used to forecast average monthly train running time with a 4.6% mean absolute percent error.
Inclusive pages
446–456
ISBN/ISSN
1366-5545
Copyright
Copyright © 2009, Elsevier
Publisher
Elsevier
Volume
45
Issue
3
Peer Reviewed
yes
eCommons Citation
Gorman, Michael F., "Statistical Estimation of Railroad Congestion Delay" (2009). MIS/OM/DS Faculty Publications. 70.
https://ecommons.udayton.edu/mis_fac_pub/70
COinS
Comments
Permission documentation is on file.