Presenter(s)

Diya Liz Babu

Comments

Presentation: 3:00-4:15, Kennedy Union Ballroom

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Description

Predicting the performance of pilots in the aviation industry is essential for improving safety, efficiency, and overall operational effectiveness. Accurate evaluations of a pilot’s abilities can provide valuable insights for training programs, facilitate the development of customized training interventions, and contribute to the design of human-machine interfaces that align with individual skill sets. Moreover, understanding and predicting pilot performance can assist in identifying potential safety hazards and mitigating human factors that may contribute to errors in complex flight scenarios.This research primarily focuses on predicting and validating models for pilot performance during simulated flight operations, i.e. performing altitude or heading changes. This predictive scope involves essential metrics, the highest pilot entry stage input value (greatest yoke angle), aircraft heading error, aircraft heading change rate (yaw rate) during the pilot's initial recovery stage input, and compensatory corrections during the recovery period.Additionally, the research explores the temporal aspect of predictive accuracy, analyzing how early in the timeline we can effectively forecast pilot performance. Our proposed solution involves the utilization of Machine Learning Regression methods, assessing both Single Output and Multi Output models. Interestingly, the study reveals that Single Output models perform just as effectively as Multi Output models, suggesting a lack of correlation between the target variables for the Multi Output to outperform. Among the algorithms considered, Random Forest emerges as the most proficient in predicting pilot performance.

Publication Date

4-17-2024

Project Designation

Graduate Research

Primary Advisor

Van Tam Nguyen, Megan E. Reissman, Timothy Reissman

Primary Advisor's Department

Computer Science

Keywords

Stander Symposium, College of Arts and Sciences

Pilot Performance Analysis in Virtual Environment

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